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Government Operations Results for August 2017

For the period of April 2017 to August 2017, the GOJ reported Total Revenues & Grants of $213.07 billion, $14.62 billion more than the government’s projection. Furthermore, year over year, this represents an increase of approximately 11.9% relative to the $190.43 billion recorded for the corresponding period in 2016. ‘Tax Revenue,’ ‘Non-Tax Revenue,’ ‘Capital Revenue’ and ‘Grants’ outperformed projections while ‘Bauxite Levy’ underperformed projections during the review period. ‘Tax Revenues’ amounted to $193.97 billion, $11.01 billion more than budgeted, ‘Non-Tax Revenue’ of $16.31 billion was reported; $3.05 billion more than budgeted. ‘Grants’ totalled $2.01 billion, $220.9 million or 12.4% more than budgeted.  In addition, “Bauxite Levy” closed at $127.5 million, relative to the budgeted figure of $131.0 million, while ‘Capital Revenues’ outperformed projections by $345.7 million to total $652.7 million.

Expenditures

Total Expenditure for the period April to August 2017 amounted to $218.90 billion, $6.89 billion or 3.1% less than the budgeted $225.8 billion. Recurrent expenditure which totalled $205.3 billion, accounted for 94% of overall expenditures. Relative to projections, recurrent expenditure was $6.79 billion (3.2%) less than budgeted. Of the recurrent expenditure categories over the review period, ‘Compensation of Employees’ came in above budget by $499.3 million, totalling $79.25 billion relative to a budget of $78.75 billion. ‘Employee Contribution’ which amounted to $6.72 billion, was $846.5 million less than projected, while ‘Wages and Salaries’ was below the projection by $347.2 million to total $72.53 billion. ‘Interest’ closed the period under budget by 3.4%, while ‘Programmes’ was under budget by 7.2%. ‘Capital Expenditure’ amounted to $13.60 billion for the period and was under budget by 0.7% relative to the budgeted $13.71 billion.

As a result of the decrease in expenditures for the period April to August 2017, the ‘Fiscal Deficit’ was $5.84 billion, relative to a projected deficit of $27.36 billion. Additionally, the primary balance for the period amounted to $52.05 billion, 59.9% more than budgeted.

As part of the Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies (MEFP), the GOJ estimates that the primary balance, as a performance criterion, should amount to $131.9 billion by the end of the 2017/2018 fiscal year.  For the September quarter, a primary balance of $38.1 billion is estimated. As at August 2017, this amounted to $52.05 billion.  Tax Revenue is expected to total an estimated $218.0 billion by the end of the September quarter, as at August 2017, tax revenue was booked at $193.97 billion.

 

 

 

Disclaimer:

Analyst Certification -The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer (s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation (s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.

Company Disclosure -The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may effect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.

 

2017-10-04T18:30:40-05:00